Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change

AP Barnes, A Wreford, MH Butterworth, MA Semenov, D Moran, N Evans, BDL Fitt

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28 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Various adaptation strategies are available that will minimize or negate predicted climate changerelated increases in yield loss from phoma stem canker in UK winter oilseed rape (OSR) production. A number of forecasts for OSR yield, national production and subsequent economic values are presented, providing estimates of impacts on both yield and value for different levels of adaptation. Under future climate change scenarios, there will be increasing pressure to maintain yields at current levels. Losses can be minimized in the short term (up to the 2020s) with a ‘low’-adaptation strategy, which essentially requires some farmer-led changes towards best management practices. However, the predicted impacts of climate change can be negated and, in most cases, improved upon, with ‘high’- adaptation strategies. This requires increased funding from both the public and private sectors and more directed efforts at adaptation from the producer. Most literature on adaptation to climate change has had a conceptual focus with little quantification of impacts. It is argued that quantifying the impacts of adaptation is essential to provide clearer information to guide policy and industry approaches to future climate change risk.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)683 - 694
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of Agricultural Science
Volume148
Publication statusFirst published - 2010

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Bibliographical note

1020889

Keywords

  • Adaptation
  • Climate change
  • Oilseed rape
  • Phoma stem canker
  • UK

Cite this

Barnes, AP., Wreford, A., Butterworth, MH., Semenov, MA., Moran, D., Evans, N., & Fitt, BDL. (2010). Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change. Journal of Agricultural Science, 148, 683 - 694.