Assessing the consequencies of an incursion of a vector-borne disease. II. Spread of bluetongue in Scotland and impact of vaccination

C Szmaragd, GJ Gunn, S Gubbins

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    21 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Bluetongue is a viral disease of ruminants transmitted by Culicoides biting midges, which has spread across Europe over the past decade. The disease arrived in south-east England in 2007, raising the possibility that it could pose a risk to the valuable Scottish livestock industry. As part of an assessment of the economic consequences of a bluetongue virus incursion into Scotland commissioned by Scottish Government, we investigated a defined set of feasible incursion scenarios under different vaccination strategies. Our epidemiological simulations, based on expert knowledge, highlighted that infection will rarely spread in Scotland after the initial incursion and will be efficiently controlled by vaccination.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)139 - 147
    Number of pages9
    JournalEpidemics
    Volume2
    Issue number3
    Publication statusFirst published - 2010

    Bibliographical note

    66060003
    66000011

    Keywords

    • Disease control
    • Epidemiology
    • Modelling
    • Scotland

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