Brexit: potential impacts on the economic welfare of UK farm households

Oluwaseun Ojo; Carmen Hubbard; Michael Wallace; Andrew Moxey; Myles Patton; David Harvey; S Shrestha; Siyi Feng; Charles Scott; George Philippidis; John Davis; Anne Liddon

doi:10.1080/00343404.2020.1778164

Brexit: potential impacts on the economic welfare of UK farm households

Oluwaseun Ojo^*, Carmen Hubbard, Michael Wallace, Andrew Moxey, Myles Patton, David Harvey, S Shrestha, Siyi Feng, Charles Scott, George Philippidis, John Davis, Anne Liddon

^*Corresponding author for this work

Rural Development & Food Marketing

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Abstract

This paper estimates the effects of potential post-Brexit UK trade and domestic agricultural policy scenarios on the economic welfare (real income) of farm households, at both regional (devolved administrations) and national level. Results show that depending on the selected scenario, particularly the retention or elimination of direct payments as currently provided under Pillar 1 of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), the impact varies significantly across farm types and devolved administrations. Given the substantial contribution of CAP direct payments to farm business income, their removal amplifies farm vulnerability. Hence, non-farm income is critical in safeguarding the economic welfare of most UK farm households.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1-13
Number of pages	13
Journal	Regional Studies
Early online date	7 Jul 2020
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2020.1778164
Publication status	First published - 7 Jul 2020

Keywords

Brexit
UK
direct payment
farm household welfare
farm viability
on- and non-farm income
sustainability and vulnerability
trade policy scenario

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10.1080/00343404.2020.1778164

Manuscript-Regional StudiesAccepted author manuscript, 1.1 MBLicence: CC BY-NC-ND

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AU - Harvey, David

AU - Shrestha, S

AU - Feng, Siyi

AU - Scott, Charles

AU - Philippidis, George

AU - Davis, John

AU - Liddon, Anne

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Brexit: potential impacts on the economic welfare of UK farm households

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Brexit: How might UK agriculture survive or thrive?

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Brexit: potential impacts on the economic welfare of UK farm households

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Brexit: How might UK agriculture survive or thrive?

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