Developing carbon budgets for UK agriculture, land-use, land-use change and forestry out to 2022

D Moran; M MacLeod; E Wall; V Eory; A McVittie; AP Barnes; RM Rees; CFE Topp; G Pajot; R Matthews; P Smith; A Moxey

doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9898-2

Developing carbon budgets for UK agriculture, land-use, land-use change and forestry out to 2022

D Moran, M MacLeod, E Wall, V Eory, A McVittie, AP Barnes, RM Rees, CFE Topp, G Pajot, R Matthews, P Smith, A Moxey

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

42 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper derives a notional future carbon budget for UK agriculture, land use, land use change and forestry sectors (ALULUCF). The budget is based on a bottom-up marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) derived for a range of mitigation measures for specified adoption scenarios for the years 2012, 2017 and 2022. The results indicate that in 2022 around 6.36 MtCO2e could be abated at negative or zero cost. Furthermore, in the same year, over 17% of agricultural GHG emissions (7.85 MtCO2e) could be abated at a cost of less than the 2022 Shadow Price of Carbon (£34 (tCO2e) − 1). The development of robust MACCs faces a range of methodological hurdles that complicate cost-effectiveness appraisal in ALULUCF relative to other sectors. Nevertheless, the current analysis provides an initial route map of efficient measures for mitigation in UK agriculture.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	529 - 553
Number of pages	25
Journal	Climatic Change
Volume	105
Issue number	3-4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-010-9898-2
Publication status	First published - 2011

Keywords

Agriculture
Carbon budget
Forestry
Land use change
UK

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1007/s10584-010-9898-2

Cite this

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title = "Developing carbon budgets for UK agriculture, land-use, land-use change and forestry out to 2022",

abstract = "This paper derives a notional future carbon budget for UK agriculture, land use, land use change and forestry sectors (ALULUCF). The budget is based on a bottom-up marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) derived for a range of mitigation measures for specified adoption scenarios for the years 2012, 2017 and 2022. The results indicate that in 2022 around 6.36 MtCO2e could be abated at negative or zero cost. Furthermore, in the same year, over 17% of agricultural GHG emissions (7.85 MtCO2e) could be abated at a cost of less than the 2022 Shadow Price of Carbon (£34 (tCO2e) − 1). The development of robust MACCs faces a range of methodological hurdles that complicate cost-effectiveness appraisal in ALULUCF relative to other sectors. Nevertheless, the current analysis provides an initial route map of efficient measures for mitigation in UK agriculture.",

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T1 - Developing carbon budgets for UK agriculture, land-use, land-use change and forestry out to 2022

AU - Moran, D

AU - MacLeod, M

AU - Wall, E

AU - Eory, V

AU - McVittie, A

AU - Barnes, AP

AU - Rees, RM

AU - Topp, CFE

AU - Pajot, G

AU - Matthews, R

AU - Smith, P

AU - Moxey, A

PY - 2011

Y1 - 2011

N2 - This paper derives a notional future carbon budget for UK agriculture, land use, land use change and forestry sectors (ALULUCF). The budget is based on a bottom-up marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) derived for a range of mitigation measures for specified adoption scenarios for the years 2012, 2017 and 2022. The results indicate that in 2022 around 6.36 MtCO2e could be abated at negative or zero cost. Furthermore, in the same year, over 17% of agricultural GHG emissions (7.85 MtCO2e) could be abated at a cost of less than the 2022 Shadow Price of Carbon (£34 (tCO2e) − 1). The development of robust MACCs faces a range of methodological hurdles that complicate cost-effectiveness appraisal in ALULUCF relative to other sectors. Nevertheless, the current analysis provides an initial route map of efficient measures for mitigation in UK agriculture.

AB - This paper derives a notional future carbon budget for UK agriculture, land use, land use change and forestry sectors (ALULUCF). The budget is based on a bottom-up marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) derived for a range of mitigation measures for specified adoption scenarios for the years 2012, 2017 and 2022. The results indicate that in 2022 around 6.36 MtCO2e could be abated at negative or zero cost. Furthermore, in the same year, over 17% of agricultural GHG emissions (7.85 MtCO2e) could be abated at a cost of less than the 2022 Shadow Price of Carbon (£34 (tCO2e) − 1). The development of robust MACCs faces a range of methodological hurdles that complicate cost-effectiveness appraisal in ALULUCF relative to other sectors. Nevertheless, the current analysis provides an initial route map of efficient measures for mitigation in UK agriculture.

KW - Agriculture

KW - Carbon budget

KW - Forestry

KW - Land use change

KW - UK

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M3 - Article

SN - 1573-1480

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JO - Climatic Change

JF - Climatic Change

IS - 3-4

ER -

Developing carbon budgets for UK agriculture, land-use, land-use change and forestry out to 2022

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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Cite this