The influence of diversification on long-term viability of the agricultural sector

AP Barnes*, H Hansson, G Manevska-Tasevska, S Shrestha, SG Thomson

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

98 Citations (Scopus)
380 Downloads (Pure)


The long-term viability of farm businesses has been a stated goal for agricultural policy in most developed and developing economies. Recent investigations have found the level and type of diversification to be a significant factor in determining viability. This paper presents an index of short term and long term viability over the period 2000-2012 across Scotland and Sweden. Transition probabilities are presented using a balanced Markov chain approach. We find stability in both viable and non-viable farms over time, irrespective of policy and market change. A multinomial logistic regression finds the influence agaricultural diversification on determining higher levels of viability at the farm level.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)404 - 412
JournalLand Use Policy
Publication statusPrint publication - 2015

Bibliographical note



  • Farm viability
  • Markov chain
  • Multinomial regression
  • Rural development policy


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