Vulnerability of the British swine industry to classical swine fever

T Porphyre, C Correia-Gomes, ME Chase-Topping, K Gamado, HK Auty, I Hutchinson, A Reeves, GJ Gunn, MEJ Woolhouse

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

4 Citations (Scopus)
3 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Classical swine fever (CSF) is a notifiable, highly contagious viral disease of swine which results in severe welfare and economic consequences in affected countries. To improve preparedness, it is critical to have some understanding of how CSF would spread should it be introduced. Based on the data recorded during the 2000 epidemic of CSF in Great Britain (GB), a spatially explicit, premises-based model was developed to explore the risk of CSF spread in GB. We found that large outbreaks of CSF would be rare and generated from a limited number of areas in GB. Despite the consistently low vulnerability of the British swine industry to large CSF outbreaks, we identified concerns with respect to the role played by the non-commercial sector of the industry. The model further revealed how various epidemiological features may influence the spread of CSF in GB, highlighting the importance of between-farm biosecurity in preventing widespread dissemination of the virus. Knowledge of factors affecting the risk of spread are key components for surveillance planning and resource allocation, and this work provides a valuable stepping stone in guiding policy on CSF surveillance and control in GB.
Original languageEnglish
Article number42992
JournalScientific Reports
Volume7
Early online date22 Feb 2017
DOIs
Publication statusFirst published - 22 Feb 2017

Keywords

  • Computational models
  • Ecological epidemiology

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Vulnerability of the British swine industry to classical swine fever'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Profiles

    No photo of George Gunn

    George Gunn

    Person: Academic contract that is research only

    No photo of Aaron Reeves

    Aaron Reeves

    Person: Academic contract that is research only

    Cite this

    Porphyre, T., Correia-Gomes, C., Chase-Topping, ME., Gamado, K., Auty, HK., Hutchinson, I., Reeves, A., Gunn, GJ., & Woolhouse, MEJ. (2017). Vulnerability of the British swine industry to classical swine fever. Scientific Reports, 7, [42992]. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep42992